How many Sudanese refugees and asylum-seekers will be registered with UNHCR in Egypt as of 31 August 2026? [open]

numeric · resolves Aug 31, 2026

Metaculus → · Sudan Questions #6: Sudanese in Egypt

Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [open]

binary · resolves Oct 10, 2026

Metaculus → · Sudan Questions #3: The Nobel Peace Prize

Will the Rapid Support Forces capture El Obeid by each of three dry-season dates? [open]

binary-group · resolves Oct 31, 2026

• By 31 October 2026 [open] · Oct 31, 2026
• By 31 January 2027 [open] · Jan 31, 2027
• By 31 March 2027 [open] · Mar 31, 2027

Metaculus → · Sudan Questions #5: El Obeid

Will Burhan and Hemedti be publicly confirmed to have met in person in 2026? [open]

binary · resolves Dec 31, 2026

Metaculus → · Sudan Questions #4: Burhan-Hemedti and the death toll

Will any peer-reviewed paper or major-organization publication issued in 2026 estimate Sudan-war excess mortality above 200,000? [open]

binary · resolves Dec 31, 2026

Metaculus → · Sudan Questions #4: Burhan-Hemedti and the death toll

Will SAF and RSF delegations both physically attend the same peace negotiation venue before December 31, 2025? [closed]

binary · resolves Dec 30, 2025

Metaculus → · Help Sudan with better forecasts

How many internally displaced people will Sudan have on January 31, 2026? [closed]

numeric · resolves Nov 30, 2025

Metaculus → · Help Sudan with better forecasts

How many cumulative suspected cholera cases will be reported in the next WHO Sudan Health Cluster bulletin? [closed]

numeric · resolves Sep 15, 2025

Sudan Questions #2: Cholera spreads